Qualification Scenarios: SRH Eye Top-Two Finish, Fourth Spot Still Up for Grabs
GT's 89-run win over CSK on Thursday confirmed them a top-two finish for the third time in five editions. That leaves RCB and SRH to reserve the remaining spot in Qualifier 1 in Dharamsala. Meanwhile, RR, PBKS, and KKR remain in the hunt for the fourth spot.
All NRR calculations assume a first-innings score of 200.
SRH vs RCB, Hyderabad, May 22
What SRH needs to break into top two:
- Win by at least 87 runs, or
- Chase down the target in 11 overs or fewer
RR vs MI, Mumbai WS, May 24
- A win for RR seals a playoffs spot.
If RR loses, they qualify only if:
- LSG beats PBKS on Friday, and
- DC beats KKR in the final league fixture
LSG vs PBKS (May 23) and KKR vs DC (May 24)
PBKS can qualify without NRR if:
- They beat LSG
- MI beats RR
- DC beats KKR
KKR can qualify without NRR if:
- LSG beats PBKS
- MI beats RR
- They beat DC
If Both PBKS and KKR Win and RR Finish at 14 Points
- PBKS hold NRR advantage over KKR (+0.227 vs +0.011).
If PBKS beats LSG by 10 runs, they finish at 15 points with NRR of +0.246.
- They would need to beat DC by 61 runs, or
- Chase down the target in 13.5 overs
A scenario exists where DC ties at 14 with RR, and both PBKS and KKR finish at 13. However, DC's NRR of -0.871 leaves them unlikely to qualify.
If MI beats RR by 100 runs, RR's NRR drops to -0.308. For DC to surpass that, they would need to beat KKR by at least 129 runs.
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