WTC Scenarios: South Africa Continue Ascendancy, England Dent New Zealand's Progress
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Matches | Won | Lost | Drawn | Points | PCT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | India | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 110 | 61.11 |
| 2 | South Africa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 59.26 |
| 3 | Australia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 90 | 57.69 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 72 | 50.00 |
| 5 | Sri Lanka | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 60 | 50.00 |
| 6 | England | 20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 105 | 43.75 |
| 7 | Pakistan | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 40 | 33.33 |
| 8 | West Indies | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 26.67 |
| 9 | Bangladesh | 11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 33 | 25.00 |
Remaining Fixtures
- India: 4 Tests vs Australia (Away), 4 Tests vs India (Home)
- Australia: 1 Test vs Sri Lanka (Home), 2 Tests vs Pakistan (Home)
- South Africa: 1 Test vs Sri Lanka (Home), 2 Tests vs Australia (Home)
- Sri Lanka: 2 Tests vs England (Home), 1 Test vs Australia (Home)
- England: 2 Tests vs Sri Lanka (Home)
- New Zealand: 2 Tests vs England (Home)
Scenarios for Each Team
- India: To qualify for the final, India need to win the Border Gavaskar Trophy by 5-0, 4-0, 4-1, or 3-0. If they go 3-2 down, they need several other results to go their way.
- Australia: Five wins (65.79) or four wins and a draw (62.28) will confirm their top-two finish. If India win the Border Gavaskar Trophy 3-2, Australia can still finish ahead of the two time finalists' PCT of 58.77.
- South Africa: With four consecutive wins in the ongoing cycle and three home games to follow, South Africa are currently the favourites to lock a berth in the final of WTC 2023-2025. Two wins and a draw will take them to 63.89, which can only be bettered by one of India and Australia.
- Sri Lanka: Sri Lanka's best chance is to win each of their remaining three Tests and take their PCT to 61.53, which will help them qualify automatically. Two wins and a draw will take them to 56.41, leaving them delicately placed.
- New Zealand: A possible set of scenarios for the Blackcaps, if they finish at 57.14, can be:
- The calculations have been made assuming the teams don't lose out on points for slow over-rate, which could prove to be crucial in the eventual standings.
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