Women's T20 WC 2026 Scenarios: Three teams, one semifinal spot in Group B

England became the first team to qualify for the semi-final after defeating West Indies by 38 runs in the 22nd match. From Group B, Ireland and Scotland have been eliminated.

Note: All NRR calculations based on a first-innings score of 150.

West Indies

Remaining fixture: vs Ireland

• A win secures a semi-final spot.
• If they lose, they can still qualify without NRR dependency if: England beat New Zealand AND Scotland beat Sri Lanka.
• If Sri Lanka beat Scotland by 50 runs, West Indies must ensure defeat margin against Ireland stays: less than 25 runs while chasing, or not more than 19 balls remaining.

New Zealand

Remaining fixture: vs England

• Will be eliminated if West Indies beat Ireland before New Zealand's match.
• Can qualify if: Ireland beat West Indies AND Sri Lanka loses to Scotland (or wins but stays behind on NRR) AND New Zealand beat England, finishing above West Indies on NRR.
• Assuming West Indies lose by 1 run to Ireland, New Zealand must beat England by any margin to qualify.

Sri Lanka

Remaining fixture: vs Scotland

• Can only qualify if: they beat Scotland by a big margin AND England beat New Zealand AND West Indies lose to Ireland, falling below Sri Lanka's NRR.
• Current NRR (-0.973) is worst among contenders. If Sri Lanka beat Scotland by 50 runs, they need West Indies to lose by at least 25 runs to Ireland, or Ireland to chase 151 in 16.4 overs or earlier.

If West Indies beat Ireland, both New Zealand and Sri Lanka are eliminated regardless of their own results.